- ð©ã±ãªãŒã»ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«ã¯ååã®å§ïŒ
- ã²ãŒã ããµã€ããŒ
- Futurist.
ðã¹ãŒããŒãã¿ãŒã«ãªãã! - ãžã§ã€ã³ã»ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«(2015)
- SuperBetter: ãžã§ã€ã³ã»ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«ããã®ç£ä¿®ã¢ããª.
- ã¹ãŒããŒãã¿ãŒã«ãªããã®ãžã§ã€ã³ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«ã¯ä»ïŒ2023幎çïŒ - ãããŒãã®äººçããã·ã¥ããŒãåèšç», ã²ãŒããã£ã±ãŒã§ã³ããŒã ã¯æ¥ççã«æ²äžâŠ
ðã¹ãã¬ã¹ãåã«å€ããæç§æž - ã±ãªãŒã»ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«(2014)ãšåææïŒïŒã¬ãžãªãšã³ã¹ã¯åãããŒããããªããâŠ
ðImaginable - Jane McGonigal(2022)
7ã€ã®æ³å
1.ãã£ã¬ã³ãžãèªåã§éžã¶
2.ãã¯ãŒã¢ããã¢ã€ãã ãéãã
3.æªããã€ããšæŠãã
- æé·ãé»å®³ããäžå®ãçã¿ã®åå ã«ãªã£ãŠãã察象ãç¹å®ããŠãæŠã
- ðã¹ãã¬ã¹ã¢ã³ã¹ã¿ãŒ
4.ã¯ãšã¹ãïŒåéºïŒãæãéãã 5.峿¹ãäœãã
- 瀟äŒçãµããŒã
6.èªåã®ç§å¯ã®æ£äœãæã€
- æèœã«æ°ã¥ã
7.倧åå©ãç®æã
ref. ããããããè¯å®ããç ç©¶ã- ã»ãŒæ¥åã€ãã€æ°è
ðUrgent Optimism
ç·æ¥ç楜芳䞻矩ãå·®ãè¿«ã£ã楜芳䞻矩ãä»ãããããããªã楜芳䞻矩.
Urgent optimism is the desire to act immediately to tackle an obstacle, combined with the belief that we have a reasonable hope of success.
ïŒé害ã«çŽé¢ããéã«ãããã«è¡åãèµ·ãããããšããæ¬²æ±ãšãæåã®èŠèŸŒã¿ãååã«ãããšãã信念ãçµã¿åããã£ããã®
ãä»ããã«ã§ãè¡åããããšããååããªæ°æã¡ããšãæåã§ãããšããæ ¹æ ããæ¥œèгããåããã£ãå¿çç¶æ .
ãšããžãèŠã€ãããšãã®ã¯ãªãããã¬ãŒããŒã®å¿å¢.
Epic Win
倧åå©ãç®æãã倧åå©. Epic Meaning.
ã¹ãŒããŒãã¿ãŒç ç©¶ã¯ãã€ç æ²»çã®ããã®ãŸã£ããæ°ããæ¹æ³ã®æš¡çŽ¢ã§ã¯ããŸã£ã
ããšãããã. PEG(ææåŸæé·)ç ç©¶ãã. PEGèªäœã¯æ€çŽ¢ããŠãããŸãã²ã£ããããªã.
Gaming can make a better world
- ãã€ãããŸã§ã®æ¥œèгæ§ïŒUrgent OptimismïŒ
- ãœãŒã·ã£ã«ãªæ§é ïŒSocial FabricïŒ
3, è³çŠã®çç£æ§ïŒBlissful ProductivityïŒ
- åäºè©©çãªæå³ä»ãïŒEpic MeaningïŒ
ref. https://www.ted.com/talks/jane_mcgonigal_gaming_can_make_a_better_world
ðImaginable - Jane McGonigal(2022)
<2025-04-30 Wed 15:29>
ã²ãŒããã£ã±ãŒã·ã§ã³ç ç©¶è
ã ã£ããžã§ã€ã³ã»ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«ãããæªæ¥æèç ç©¶ïŒïŒãããcourseraã«è¬åº§ãéããŠãã®ã¯ãã°ãããðã¹ãŒããŒãã¿ãŒã«ãªãã! - ãžã§ã€ã³ã»ãã¯ãŽãã¬ã«(2015),
ðIn dealing with the future, it is more important to be imaginative than to be right - Alvin toffler, ã¿ã€ãã«ãããããã®ã€ã³ã¹ãã¬ãŒã·ã§ã³ããš. ãã©ã°ããã£ãºã ç¯å šéïŒ
Urgent optimism
培åºããæ¥œèгæ§.
ãå€åæåããã ããããšããæ¥œèгçãªèããæã¡ãªããéåžžã«é£ããåé¡ã解決ããããšã«ã€ããŠãæ ç±ãæã£ãŠè¡ãããš.
ð»Future Thinking, Jane McGonigal, IFTF - Coursera
æªæ¥äºæž¬ã®ã¹ãã«ãåŠã¶.
- Futures Thinking | Coursera
- intro: Futures Thinking, Taught by IFTFâs Jane McGonigal on Coursera - YouTube
- courseraå²äžããã£ãšãçŸäººãªå ç?!
motivation
I live in Japan. I used to like programming, making software. but from this year, AI can write code better than me, at last! When I think about Generative AI, I sometime feel anxious, depressed, fear. But some people think Generative AI will change the world more better, exciting, hopeful. In other words, I feel pessimistic about AI but some people think optimistic. Why? I want to think about this topic. and also, I want to become more optimistic about future.
Ready, Set, Future! Introduction to Futures Thinking
module1
- never try to predict the future accurately
- What is Future Thinking
- æªæ¥äºæž¬ã¹ãã«ã®éèŠæ§ã¯ïŒã€
- å¯èœæ§ãèããå
- ãã倿ãããå
- ãã°ãã°ãfuturistã§ãããšãšãã«ãhistorianã ãšèãã. past, current, futureãã€ãªããããšããšãŠãéèŠ.
- æªæ¥äºæž¬ã¹ãã«ã®éèŠæ§ã¯ïŒã€
- When does the future start?
- Futureãšã¯äœå¹ŽåŸã§ããããïŒanswerã¯10幎åŸã§ãïŒ
- mental flexibilityã®ããã1,3,5ã ãšã¬ã©ããšã¯å€ãããªã.
- 10 years 㯠magic timescale
<2025-05-01 Thu 19:36>
10幎åŸãèããã®ãšåæ§ã«10幎åãæãåºãããšæã£ã.
- Future of X
- èªåã«ãšã£ãŠã® X ãæ±ºããããš.
- 10幎åŸã®é³æ¥œïŒããŸãå€ããããã¯ãªããã©.
- ãã®ããšãããããªäººã®Future of Xã®å¯Ÿè«åç»ãä»é²ã¿ããã«æ¿å ¥ããã.
<2025-05-01 Thu 17:09>
ããããæªæ¥å¿åãšæªæ¥æèãééããŠãã. Future Thinking = Future forcasting != Future-Oriented<2025-05-01 Thu 17:49>
æªæ¥æèã¯ããªããªãã©ã°ããã£ãºã .
Module2: Signals
- Signalsãšã¯ïŒ
- A signal is a specific example of the future in the present - marina gorbis
- The future is already here, Itâs just not very evenly distributed, william gibson
- A signal is a clue that thinks might soon become different - and difreent, hot
- ããã¯ãããã
- signal examples
- ã²ãããæ°ããç§åŠãã¥ãŒã¹ã玹ä»ãããŠãããã©ãæãããèãã. ãªãã ãNewtonã®éèªãèªãã§ãããããªã¯ã¯ã¯ã¯æããã£ã.
- signalã«æ°ã¥ãã«ã¯ïŒ
- FAQ
- where do we find signals, google it!
- ãããã®ãµã€ããsignalã®çºèŠã§ç޹ä»ããã.
- https://www.sciencedaily.com/
- https://medicalxpress.com/
- https://techcrunch.com/
- https://www.geekwire.com/
- https://futurism.com/, äžçªã®ãããã. ãããã®ãµã€ãããšããã£ã.
Module3: look back to look forward
éå»ãæ¯ãè¿ãæªæ¥ãäºæž¬ããããŒã«ã«ã€ããŠ.
4 skills
- forcasting
- gathering signals
- turn signals into scenario
-
simulation skill
æªæ¥ãäºæž¬ãããšåãæ²žã
ãããæªæ¥æèãšã¯ãåã®ææ³ã®ç³»èã«ãã.
5 Principles for Thin king Like a Futurist by Marina gorbiis
- Forget about predictions.
- Focus on signals.
- Look back to see forward.
- Uncover patterns.
- Create a community.